Gold Reserves and Deposits in the Philippines
This field is a textbook case of "a number taking on a life of its own." The claim that "the Philippines is the world's second-largest gold reserve holder" does not match any official statistics. The Philippines is not listed individually in the USGS gold reserves table (it falls within the "other countries" category totaling 11,000 tonnes). At the same time, gold has been the Philippines' largest metallic mineral commodity since 2024, and in Q1 2026 gold accounted for roughly 65% of metallic mineral production value (MGB). Because of the gold price surge of 2025–2026, a strange situation persists in which "production volume is falling while production value and reserve valuations are surging."
1. First, let's pin down the terminology — reserves / resources / endowment
注 Mixing up these three terms breaks the entire discussion. The Japanese word "埋蔵量" (maizōryō) gets translated into English as both "reserves" and "resources," so it is essential to always check the original-language term.
| Term | Japanese | Definition | Nature of the figure |
|---|---|---|---|
| Endowment (賦存量) | Fuzon-ryō / mineral potential | The total amount of a metal believed, on geological grounds, to exist in a region. Includes undiscovered amounts. Does not consider economic viability or technical mineability | An estimate/model calculation. Nearly unverifiable |
| Resources (資源量) | Shigen-ryō | A discovered concentration with reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction. Classified by geological confidence into Inferred / Indicated / Measured | Verifiable against reporting standards |
| Reserves (埋蔵量) | Maizōryō / kasai-kōryō | The portion of resources confirmed to be economically mineable under current price assumptions, after applying Modifying Factors (mining method, mineral processing, metallurgy, infrastructure, economics, legal, environmental, social, and permitting factors). Probable / Proved | The most rigorous category. Rises and falls with price |
注 Inferred resources cannot be converted directly into reserves under JORC, PMRC, or NI 43-101. It is not unusual for a project's "resources of X billion tonnes" figure to be mostly Inferred.
注 Reserves are not "the amount sitting in the ground" but "the amount that can be profitably mined at today's price." That is why reserves rise when the gold price rises and fall when it falls. The Philippines' 2025–2026 figures are strongly affected by this effect.
Differences in reporting standards — always check which standard a figure follows
| Standard | Governing body | Application in the Philippines |
|---|---|---|
| PMRC 2020 (Philippine Mineral Reporting Code) | Adopted by the Philippine Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) | Used for disclosures by domestically listed companies (Philex, Apex, and others). Built to align with CRIRSCO's International Reporting Template 2019 and the JORC Code 2012. A revision of the 2007 edition, effective November 2021 |
| JORC Code 2012 | Australia (JORC) | Australian-affiliated companies |
| NI 43-101 | Canada (CIM) | Canada-listed companies such as B2Gold, OceanaGold |
| Government estimates (MGB/PSA) | Philippine government | Aggregated corporate reporting or independent government estimates. May lack a Competent Person's signature |
| Industry/investment-promotion materials | Chambers of commerce, trade promotion agencies, etc. | Often provide no supporting basis. Require the most caution |
Under PMRC, a signature from an ACP (Accredited Competent Person) is required, and an ACP must be a member of PSEM, GSP, or SMEP. The practical experience required differs between an ACP who estimates resources and one who estimates reserves (ACP-Geologist / ACP-Mining Engineer).
2. Fact-checking the claims that have circulated
2-1. "The Philippines is the world's second-largest gold reserve holder"
| Verification item | Result |
|---|---|
| Identifying the primary source | Could not be done. Numerous outlets — Forbes (2015), Gulf News, an explainer page from a University of Michigan museum, and others — repeat this claim, but none cite a source |
| Fact-check | Rappler rated it False in February 2023. Per the World Gold Council (based on IMF statistics), the Philippines' gold holdings stood at 157.06 tonnes, ranking 26th in the world, as of Q4 2022, versus 8,133.46 tonnes for the top-ranked United States. A separate check as of June 2020 put it at 197.9 tonnes, 23rd place |
| 注 Mismatch in the rebuttal | Rappler used central bank monetary gold reserves, whereas the people making the claim usually mean underground deposits. The two sides are talking past each other, so this rebuttal alone does not settle the matter |
| Looking at underground deposits instead | This too cannot be substantiated. The Philippines is not listed individually in the USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026 gold reserves table (discussed below). PSA's Class A gold reserves stand at 371 tonnes (2025), which does not even reach the lowest-ranked country in the USGS table, Ghana (1,000 tonnes) |
Conclusion: "world's second-largest gold reserves" does not hold up whether measured by central bank reserves or by official mineral-deposit statistics. Even if the claim is meant to describe geological endowment, no primary source substantiating it could be found.
2-2. "World's 5th most mineralized country" / "3rd in gold, 4th in copper, 5th in nickel, 6th in chromite"
- This stock phrase also appears on MGB regional-office sites and in trade press, but Thermo Fisher's mining blog attributes this ranking to the "Australian Trade and Investment Commission (Austrade)." No MGB-originated ranking study could be confirmed.
- 注 The MGB regional-office article is a reprint of a Philstar contributed piece, and it cites MGB statistics only for the employment and production-value figures — it does not give a source for the ranking itself.
- The primary source is unconfirmed. When citing it, one should note it as "a ranking said to originate from Austrade, of unclear origin."
2-3. "2nd in the world for mineral endowment per unit area"
- The source could not be identified — unconfirmed.
- 注 This is often confused with something else: the Fraser Institute does not publish such an indicator. That institute's annual mining company survey is perception-based, with an investment-attractiveness index built from 60% geological-potential assessment plus 40% policy assessment. In fact, the Philippines scores poorly — ranked 72nd out of 86 jurisdictions (investment attractiveness) in the 2023 survey.
2-4. "$1 trillion / $1.4 trillion in undeveloped mineral resources"
| Figure | Source and year | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| US$840 billion | MGB, estimate as of 2012 | A 14-year-old estimate. Cited together with an "ore-tonnage" figure of 21.5 billion tonnes of metallic-ore deposits and 19.3 billion tonnes of non-metallic |
| US$1 trillion / US$1.387 trillion | Various investment-promotion media (Vantage FDI and others) | Source unclear. Appears to be a revaluation of the US$840 billion figure reflecting higher metal prices |
| 注 MGB's own comment | MGB Deputy Director Danilo Uykieng has said this type of figure is "just a rough estimate — nobody really knows how much there is or exactly where it is" | A figure whose precision the government itself disavows |
3. The real numbers, from official statistics
3-1. USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026 (published February 6, 2026; v1.1 in March 2026; DOI: 10.3133/mcs2026)
注 The full-text PDF was inaccessible at the time of research, so the figures below are drawn from multiple secondary outlets (mining.com.au, Visual Capitalist, Investing News, StatRanker) that agree with one another. Re-verification against the primary source is recommended.
World gold reserves (estimated as of year-end 2025): total 66,000 tonnes (revised upward from 64,000 tonnes in the prior year's edition)
| Rank | Country | Reserves (tonnes) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Australia | 13,000 |
| 2 | Russia | 12,000 |
| 3 | South Africa | 5,000 |
| 4 | Indonesia | 3,600 |
| 5 | Canada / China | 3,200 each |
| 7 | United States | 3,000 |
| 8 | Brazil | 2,500 |
| 9 | Kazakhstan | 2,300 |
| 10 | Peru / Uzbekistan | 2,200 each |
| 12 | Mexico | 1,400 |
| 13 | Ghana | 1,000 |
| — | Other countries | 11,000 |
The Philippines is not among the 13 individually listed countries. It is buried inside the "other countries, 11,000 tonnes" line. 注 The fact that USGS does not list it individually is the most direct evidence that, on a global scale, its deposits are not outstandingly large.
World gold mine production (2025 estimate): China 380 t, Russia 310 t, Australia 280 t, Canada 200 t, US 160 t, Ghana 150 t, Mexico 140 t, Kazakhstan/Uzbekistan 130 t each, Peru 110 t, Indonesia/South Africa 90 t each, Brazil 80 t. The top 3 countries total 970 tonnes, said to represent about 29.4% of the world total, putting the world total at roughly 3,300 tonnes. The Philippines' annual output of 20–29 tonnes is under 1% of the world total.
3-2. PSA's "Mineral Accounts of the Philippines"
This is the only systematic gold "reserves" statistic produced by the Philippine government. It follows the framework of the UN's System of Environmental-Economic Accounting (SEEA).
注 Here, Class A reserves means "commercially recoverable mineral resources confirmed to be economically viable under a specific development plan or operation" — equivalent to reserves.
| Item | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold Class A reserves (volume) | 382.33 thousand kg | 390.53 thousand kg (revised) | 371.26 thousand kg ≈ 371 tonnes (−4.9%) |
| Gold Class A reserves (value) | ₱174.15 billion | ₱218.04 billion (revised) | ₱308.79 billion (+41.6%) |
| Gold mined volume | 21,850 kg | 20,110 kg | 19,550 kg (−2.7%) |
| Combined gold/copper/Ni/chromite value | ₱460.16 billion | ₱500.20 billion (revised) | ₱588.12 billion (+17.6%) |
| Resource rent, 4 minerals | — | ₱57.06 billion (0.22% of GDP) | ₱68.25 billion (0.24% of GDP) |
Volume fell while value rose 41.6%. This is a direct consequence of the gold price surge. 注 Do not read a headline about "surging mineral assets" as meaning the reserves themselves grew.
注 PSA's figures exclude BARMM (the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao) due to data constraints. 注 Also, the 2024 figure was originally announced as 357.11 thousand kg / ₱481.45 billion and was revised upward the following year. When comparing figures across years, be sure to use the revised, consistent values.
3-3. Production statistics from MGB
| Period | Gold production volume | Gold production value | Total metallic mineral production value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 31,046 kg | — | ₱249.0 billion |
| 2024 | 28,870 kg | ₱126.36 billion | 注₱252.9 billion (metallic only) / ₱316.29 billion is the total mining production value (including non-metallic) (corrected 2026-08-25 through cross-checking) |
| 2025 Jan–Sep | 20,500 kg (−5.3%) | ₱117.42 billion (+28.9%) | ₱219.74 billion (+14.8%) |
| 2026 Q1 | 5,850 kg (−24.7%) | ₱53.78 billion (+31.2%) | ₱82.78 billion (+28.6%) |
In Q1 2026, gold accounted for roughly 65% of metallic mineral production value. The top producer for the quarter was the Masbate gold mine (Filminera Resources + Philippine Gold Processing & Refining), at 1,646 kg / ₱14.75 billion.
注 (Corrected 2026-08-25 through cross-checking) ₱316.29 billion is not "metallic mineral production value" but rather "total mining production value (including non-metallic)." An earlier version of this document had entered this figure in the table as the metallic value, but all five related documents in the cluster ("Mining and Nickel" Chapter 1 / "Comprehensive Review of Subsurface Resources" 1-1 / "Copper and Other Metal Resources" 2-2 / "Non-Metallic Minerals and Aggregates" 2.2, among others) treat it as total mining production value. This is also arithmetically consistent: if the 2023 gold value of ₱106.64 billion was "42.82% of total metallic value" (per the field "Major Gold Mines and Production," 1-1), total metallic value would be ₱249.0 billion; metallic value for Jan–Sep 2025 was ₱219.74 billion (versus ₱191.42 billion in the same period the year before), implying full-year 2024 metallic value on the order of ₱252.9 billion. At ₱316.29 billion, gold's share would be only about 40%, which does not match the description that "in 2024 gold accounted for roughly half of metallic value and ranked first." 注 That said, MGB has not publicly clarified the difference between these two definitions, and primary confirmation of the ₱252.9 billion figure remains incomplete (unconfirmed). When citing this figure, always specify whether it refers to metallic minerals only or to mining overall including non-metallic.
MGB designates roughly 9 million hectares of national territory as "high mineralization potential areas" (this figure was also cited in Executive Order No. 122 of August 21, 2026). 注 This is an endowment figure — it is neither reserves nor resources.
4. Geological background — why does the Philippines have gold?
The Philippine archipelago is part of the Pacific Ring of Fire, sitting at the collision zone between the Eurasian Plate and the Philippine Sea Plate. It has a globally unusual structure as a "double subduction" island arc, with subduction zones on both sides — the Manila Trench to the west and the Philippine Trench to the east.
The magmatic activity generated by this subduction creates gold and copper deposits.
| Deposit type | Where it forms | Characteristics | Representative Philippine examples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porphyry copper-gold deposits | Around igneous intrusions of the island arc, 2–5 km underground | Low grade (Cu 0.2–0.7%, Au 0.2–1 g/t) but enormous in size. Produces large amounts of gold as a byproduct of copper. Mined by open-pit or block-caving methods | Tampakan, Far Southeast, King-king, Padcal, Didipio, Boyongan |
| High-sulfidation epithermal gold deposits | Shallow part of the same magmatic system (surface to 1 km) | High-grade gold. Can form directly above a porphyry deposit | Lepanto (Mankayan) |
| Low/intermediate-sulfidation epithermal gold deposits | Shallow fracture zones in volcanic terrain | Quartz-vein type. Small-to-medium scale but high grade; the main target of small-scale mining | Acupan, Maco, Balabag, Diwalwal |
| Skarn deposits | Contact zone between intrusive rock and limestone | Copper, gold, iron | Scattered within the Baguio mineral district |
Porphyry and epithermal systems are "the deep and shallow parts of the same hydrothermal system." In the Mankayan mineral district, the Lepanto high-sulfidation epithermal deposit and the porphyry copper-gold deposit beneath it, Far Southeast, have been shown to have formed simultaneously within a geologically very short span — 300,000 years or less (Arribas et al., 1995, published in the journal Geology). This is cited as a classic case study in global economic geology.
The porphyry copper deposits of the West Luzon arc are attributed to magmatic activity associated with the eastward subduction of the Eurasian Plate at the Manila Trench since the Late Oligocene (Imai et al.). A comprehensive academic review can be found in the special issue "Philippine Porphyry and Epithermal Deposits" in Economic Geology, Vol. 106, No. 8 (2011).
5. Major mineral districts
| Mineral district | Location | Type | Major deposits/mines | Status (August 2026) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baguio Mineral District | Benguet Province, Cordillera | Porphyry + epithermal + skarn | Padcal (Philex), Acupan, Antamok, Sangilo, Santo Tomas II, Dizon | Padcal's life extended through end-2028. Antamok has remained closed since ceasing operations in 1998 |
| Mankayan mineral district | Northern Benguet | Porphyry + high-sulfidation epithermal | Lepanto, Far Southeast (FSE), Suyoc | MPSA 001 renewed for 25 years on July 30, 2026. Development operator not yet determined |
| Nueva Vizcaya | Eastern margin of northern Luzon | Porphyry (alkalic porphyry) | Didipio, Runruno | Didipio operating. Runruno scheduled to close end of 2026 |
| Paracale/Bicol | Camarines Norte, Masbate | Epithermal veins, small-scale mining | Paracale, Masbate gold mine | Masbate operating (B2Gold) |
| Surigao | Northeastern Mindanao | Porphyry copper-gold (deep oxidized type) | Boyongan, Bayugo (=Silangan) | Silangan Phase 1 in ramp-up stage |
| Pacific Cordillera / Eastern Davao | Davao de Oro, Davao Oriental | Epithermal + porphyry | Diwalwal (Mt. Diwata), Maco (Apex), King-king (Pantukan) | Maco operating. King-king at DFS stage |
| South Cotabato (Tampakan) | Southern Mindanao | Porphyry copper-gold | Tampakan | Undeveloped. Production expected to start 2028 |
| Zamboanga Peninsula | Zamboanga del Sur / Sibugay | Low-sulfidation epithermal | Balabag (TVIRD), former Canatuan | Balabag operating (commercial production started November 2021) |
| Negros/Cebu | Western Visayas, Central Visayas | Epithermal/porphyry | Bulawan, Sipalay, Atlas (Biga/Carmen/Lutopan) | Primarily copper |
| 注 Palawan | Palawan Province | Not a major gold district (dominated by nickel laterite) | — | 50-year mining moratorium under Provincial Ordinance No. 3646 (renewable). Passed by the provincial board March 5, 2025; signed by Governor Dennis Socrates March 13, 2025. Suspends endorsement of new applications and invalidates 67 pending applications covering over 200,000 ha. Existing MPSAs are unaffected, and a loophole remains via PCSD's SEP clearance (supplemented 2026-08-25 through cross-checking. Both the "Mining and Nickel" field, Chapter 9, and "Gold, Investment, and Japanese Companies," section 9-2, give March 13 as the governor's signing date; the dates have been reconciled as the separate dates of passage and signing) |
注 Be cautious of materials that discuss "Palawan's gold deposits." Palawan's mining is almost entirely nickel (Rio Tuba, Ipilan, Berong, etc.), and it is not a major gold-producing area. Specific resource data for gold mineralization signs such as Ulugan Bay could not be confirmed — unconfirmed.
6. Major operating gold mines (as of August 2026)
| Mine | Province | Operator | Reserves/resources | Recent production | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masbate | Masbate | Filminera (B2Gold 40%) / PGPRC | Probable 62.9 million t @ 0.72 g/t = 1.46 million oz (reserve effective date December 31, 2025, gold price assumption US$2,000/oz. Breakdown: North 6.6 Mt @ 0.79 = 170,000 oz / South 17.3 Mt @ 1.00 = 560,000 oz / stockpile 39.0 Mt @ 0.59 = 740,000 oz) / Indicated 140.9 Mt @ 0.70 g/t = 3.18 million oz / Inferred 40.16 Mt @ 0.72 g/t = 930,000 oz (resource effective date is March 31, 2026. Corrected 2026-08-25 through cross-checking — the earlier version had listed resources on the same "as of December 31, 2025" basis. Source: verified directly on B2Gold's official Masbate Gold Project page on 2026-08-25) | 2025: 196,526 oz | Mining scheduled to end in 2028; stockpile processing to continue through 2034. 2026 guidance was initially 170,000–190,000 oz, then revised upward to 180,000–200,000 oz in the Q2 2026 earnings release on August 6, 2026, AISC US$1,430–1,580/oz (corrected 2026-08-25 through cross-checking — the earlier version showed the outdated pre-revision guidance. Source: fields "Major Gold Mines and Production," 3-1, and "Gold, Investment, and Japanese Companies," Chapter 5) |
| Maco | Davao de Oro | Apex Mining (PSE: APX) | Ore reserves 9.9 million t @ 4.18 g/t (Competent Person certification March 2025, up 72% from the previous 5.75 million t) | 2024 gold sales 104,107 oz | Said to be mineable through 2034. Processing capacity being expanded from 3,000 to 3,500 t/day. Subsidiary ITOGON-SUYOC operates the Sangilo mine in Benguet (about 10% of production); Suyoc is idle |
| Didipio | Nueva Vizcaya | OceanaGold (80%) | Reserves 41.5 Mt @ Au 0.85 g/t / Cu 0.32% = 1.13 million oz gold / 130,000 t copper / M&I 45.2 Mt = 1.34 million oz gold / Inferred 9.2 Mt = 300,000 oz gold (as of December 31, 2025, on a 100% basis) | — | Reserve price assumption is gold at US$2,200/oz; resources at US$2,450/oz. 注 Substantially more conservative than the prevailing price (around US$4,600), and reserves would grow if the price assumption were raised |
| Padcal | Benguet | Philex Mining | Remaining mineable ore 30.25 Mt @ Au 0.20 g/t / Cu 0.18% (as of end-October 2024) / resources 190.8 Mt @ Au 0.3 g/t / Cu 0.18% (end-2023) | — | A block-caving mine that has operated since 1958. Life has been extended more than 7 times, through end-2028. Serves as a bridge to Silangan |
| Balabag | Zamboanga del Sur | TVIRD (TVI Pacific 30.66%) | As of 2013: 1.78 Mt @ Au 2.34 g/t / Ag 72.3 g/t = 134,262 oz gold / 4.148 million oz silver (old figures; updated values unconfirmed) | — | Open-pit, low-sulfidation epithermal vein deposit. Commercial production began November 2021. Won a 2025 PMIEA award |
| Runruno | Nueva Vizcaya | FCF Minerals (under UK's Metals Exploration) | Reserves 5.14 Mt @ 1.35 g/t ≈ 220,000 oz (cutoff 0.53 g/t) | In production since 2016. 注Often described as "the country's second-largest gold mine," but the metric (production or reserves) and source are not given — unconfirmed (noted 2026-08-25 through cross-checking) | Breakdown of closure: ore mining scheduled to end Q3 2026, processing scheduled to end late 2026/early 2027 (refined 2026-08-25 through cross-checking — the earlier version only stated "closing end of 2026." Source: field "Major Gold Mines and Production," 3-8). Beyond ore-body depletion, the decisive blow was MGB's suspension of the Dupax exploration permit on force-majeure grounds — the only remaining path to a life extension (announced February 18, 2026). 2026 guidance was revised down from 50,000–60,000 oz to 40,000–48,000 oz |
7. Major undeveloped deposits — where the substance of "Philippine gold" actually lies
| Deposit | Location | Resources/reserves | Reporting standard | Status (August 2026) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampakan | South Cotabato | Resources 2.94 billion t @ Cu 0.51% / Au 0.19 g/t = 15 million t copper / 17.6 million oz gold (approx. 547 tonnes) | 注An estimate from the Glencore/Xstrata era. No JORC/NI 43-101 resource figures updated for 2025–2026 could be confirmed — unconfirmed. SMI's own website more conservatively states "over 2.5 billion t" | Operated by Sagittarius Mines (SMI, wholly owned by Indophil Resources Phils.). Expected start of production pushed back from the original 2026 to 2028. Annual output projected at 375,000 t copper / 360,000 oz gold; mine life 17 years (some sources cite over 40 years, 注an inconsistency). Seeking a strategic partner. Interest from China's Chinalco has been reported, but South China Sea tensions are complicating negotiations. 注Development cost figures diverge widely between US$5.9 billion and US$1.1 billion depending on the source — unresolved |
| Far Southeast (FSE) | Mankayan, Benguet Province | 19.8 million oz gold (approx. 616 tonnes), approx. 9.9 billion lb copper (Inferred) — Lepanto's attributable 11.9 Moz + Gold Fields' attributable 7.9 Moz | Gold Fields' 2018 mineral resource statement. No resource figures updated following the 2024 withdrawal could be confirmed | Lepanto Consolidated Mining (LCMCo) 60% / Gold Fields Switzerland Holding 40%. In July 2024, Gold Fields terminated its option and shareholders' agreement and withdrew (having already invested US$230 million for its 40% stake). Lepanto says it is seeking a replacement partner. On July 30, 2026, an MOA was signed with the Mankayan indigenous community, securing FPIC and renewing MPSA 001 (948.47 ha) for 25 years. The community receives a monthly royalty equal to 1% of total production plus a one-time payment of ₱110 million. 注Awaiting NCIP's Certificate Precondition |
| Silangan | Surigao del Norte | District-wide resources of 571 million t (up 43% from the previous 398 million t). Phase 1 (Boyongan = Sta. Barbara I) has mineable ore of 81 million t @ Cu 0.67% / Au 1.13 g/t = 992.8 million lb copper / 2.81 million oz gold | Based on PMRC-compliant resources as of August 1, 2019 | Philex Mining subsidiary SMMCI. Concession area 16,620 ha. Mine life 28 years. Targeting commercial production start in early 2026. Total investment US$1 billion (US$240 million already deployed). Seeking outside partners for up to 40% equity |
| King-king (Kingking) | Pantukan, Davao de Oro | Proven + probable reserves of 959.4 million t @ Cu 0.26% / Au 0.36 g/t = 5.396 billion lb copper / 9.771 million oz gold (breakdown: 849 million t for milling + 111 million t for heap leach). The 2025 PFS (M3 Engineering) projects life-of-mine production of 4.4 billion lb (2 million t) copper / 6.9 million oz gold, a mine life of 38 years, and average annual output over the first 5 years of 284 million lb copper / 333,000 oz gold (corrected 2026-08-25 through cross-checking — the earlier version had cited the outdated 2013 PFS life-of-mine figures of "3.16 billion lb copper / 5.43 million oz gold." Source: fields "Copper and Other Metal Resources," 3-6, and "Gold, Investment, and Japanese Companies," Chapters 5 and 7) | NI 43-101 compliant (PFS updated July 2025, resources as of August 2023) | St. Augustine Gold & Copper (TSX: SAU) 40% / Nadecor 40% / Queensberry Mining (Villar group) 20%. The 2025 PFS shows an after-tax NPV(7%) of US$4.18 billion, an IRR of 34.2%, and initial capex of US$2.37 billion. Approved transition to DFS in October 2025, led by Stantec with IMC handling the mine plan, targeted for completion in Q4 2026. Considering increasing throughput to shorten the mine life to 21–25 years. Has obtained a Declaration of Mining Project Feasibility (DMPF) and an Environmental Compliance Certificate (ECC) from MGB/EMB |
| Diwalwal (Mt. Diwata) | Davao de Oro | 注No official resource or reserve figures exist. Remaining potential is estimated at "US$1.8 billion worth" (Blacksmith Institute, now Pure Earth; an old estimate from the early 2010s) | None | Discovered in September 1983 by Lumad (indigenous) prospector Camilo Banad, sparking a gold rush that grew the local population to 125,000 within three years. Cumulative output of roughly 2.7 million ounces, but no national taxes have ever been paid on it (PMDC). The government-affiliated PMDC administers the 8,100-hectare "Diwalwal Mineral Reservation." Roughly 30,000 small-scale miners operate there (many unlicensed). 注Serious mercury and cyanide contamination affects the Naboc and Agusan Rivers |
注 Simply adding up the gold figures for the undeveloped deposits above yields roughly 30 million ounces (about 930 tonnes), but these are mostly resources, not reserves. This is a different concept from PSA's Class A reserve figure of 371 tonnes, so the two should not be summed or compared.
8. Impact of the gold price surge (2025–2026)
| Date | Gold price | Event |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2025 | US$3,487.90/oz | Then-record high (amid reports of possible US tariffs on gold bullion) |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Broke US$4,000 | Up more than 52% for full-year 2025 |
| Full-year 2025 | — | Per the World Gold Council (WGC), global gold demand reached a record high; ETF, bullion, and coin demand totaled 2,175 tonnes (+84%) |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Approx. US$4,736 | New record high |
| Jan 29, 2026 | US$5,542.40 (futures, all-time high) 注Some compilations put the high for the same period at US$5,608.35 (both from Trading Economics; the difference appears to stem from futures-settlement basis versus intraday-high basis, but this is unconfirmed. The two figures are given side by side following 2026-08-25 cross-checking. Source: field "Major Gold Mines and Production," 5-1) | Nine consecutive trading-day gains, including a single-day rise of +4.5%. Reached just days after breaking US$5,000 |
| Aug 24, 2026 (as of this article) | US$4,645.74 (+37.98% year-on-year, +13.94% over the past month) | 注A substantial correction from the late-January peak |
| Forecasts | UBS: US$5,400 over the next 12 months / BofA: US$5,000 in 2026 / Goldman Sachs: US$4,900 in 2026 | Driven by the US fiscal deficit and debt (over US$40 trillion) and a weaker dollar |
Four effects of the price surge on the Philippines
- Production volume falls, but production value rises. In Q1 2026, gold production volume fell 24.7% while production value rose 31.2% (MGB). 注One needs to check what's actually behind headlines saying "mining is growing."
- Reserve valuations jump. PSA's Class A gold reserve value rose 41.6% in 2025 even as volume fell 4.9%.
- Reserves themselves can grow. This is because low-grade ore becomes economical to mine. Padcal's life extension was explained as premised on "the gold price staying above US$2,000/oz." 注However, OceanaGold's own reserve price assumption is US$2,200/oz — less than half the prevailing price — because companies use conservative assumptions.
- Central bank gold reserves are ballooning. BSP's gold holdings stood at US$18.58 billion at end-2025 and US$20.67 billion in January 2026. Gold's share of total reserves (GIR, US$110.9 billion at end-2025) is about 17%, sharply up from roughly 10% in 2024, and exceeding BSP's own target range of 8–12%. Governor Remolona has said "if the portfolio share gets too large, we will sell."
9. Small-scale mining (ASGM) and the BSP purchasing system
A significant portion of the Philippines' gold output comes from artisanal and small-scale gold mining (ASGM), but this is not fully reflected in official statistics.
| Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Legal basis | Republic Act No. 7076 (People's Small-Scale Mining Act, 1991). Small-scale miners are obligated to sell their gold output to the BSP |
| RA 11256 (2019) | Exempts small-scale miners and traders from excise tax and income tax when selling gold to the BSP. 注Before this law, the tax burden pushed sellers into the black market. The effect was dramatic: BSP's 2020 purchase volume was 115,800 troy ounces, more than 10 times the 2019 figure of 10,207 oz |
| Purchasing windows | Five locations: Quezon City, Baguio, Davao, Zamboanga, and Naga. Prices are set using the LBMA fixing and the peso/dollar exchange rate. No purchase-volume target is set — everything brought in is bought |
| Minahang Bayan (People's Small-Scale Mining Areas) | Per MGB's "Minerals Industry at a Glance" (as of March 14, 2025), there are 63 areas (50 gold, 11 chromite, 1 magnesite, 1 silica quartz), plus an estimated 5,691 LGU-issued permits. 注A separate legal-sector tally puts the number at 53 areas as of July 2025 — the figures do not match |
| Regional breakdown (2025–2026) | Cordillera: only 8 of 15 areas hold valid contracts (March 2026, MGB-CAR). Davao Region: 5 areas covering 339 ha obtained DENR Secretary clearance (October 2025) |
| New system, August 2026 | DENR issued a framework for an "Interim Small-Scale Mining Contract" within Minahang Bayan areas, aimed at formalization and strengthening domestic gold supply to reserves |
| Challenges | 注Against 1,637 municipalities nationwide, there are only a few dozen designated areas. Mercury-use reduction is progressing through a GEF-funded project worth US$11.7 million (planetGOLD) |
注 The English phrase "Philippines gold reserves" can, depending on context, refer to either (a) BSP's monetary gold reserves or (b) underground mineral reserves. This ambiguity is the seedbed of the "world's second-largest" myth.
10. The 2025–2026 policy environment
| Timing | Event |
|---|---|
| March 5, 2025 (passage) / March 13, 2025 (governor's signature) | Palawan Province passed and signed a 50-year mining moratorium (Provincial Ordinance No. 3646) (signing date of March 13 added following 2026-08-25 cross-checking) |
| September 4, 2025 | Republic Act No. 12253 (Enhanced Fiscal Regime for Mining Act) signed. Introduces a margin-based royalty of 1–5%, a windfall profit tax of 1–10%, and project-level ring-fencing. 注A provision banning the export of unprocessed ore was removed during the bicameral conference committee |
| November 2025 | The Chamber of Mines of the Philippines (COMP) held "Mining Philippines 2025," its first industry gathering in two years |
| February 2026 | The end-2026 closure of the Runruno gold mine became known (following MGB's suspension of the Dupax exploration permit) |
| July 30, 2026 | MOA signed between LCMCo/FSGRI and the Mankayan indigenous community; MPSA 001 renewed for 25 years |
| August 18, 2026 | DENR issued rules for interim small-scale mining contracts within Minahang Bayan |
| August 21, 2026 | Executive Order No. 122 (EO 122) signed — "Unified National Policy Framework for the Development of the Critical Minerals Industry." Reorganizes the Mining Industry Coordinating Council (MICC), with the DENR Secretary and DOF Secretary as co-chairs. Provides Board of Investments (BOI) incentives for downstream industries (refining, batteries) and priority ore access for domestic processing facilities. MGB Director Larry Heradez explained it as "shifting the strategy from raw-ore export toward integrated domestic processing" |
注 EO 122's focus is on "critical minerals" — gold is not its primary target. Gold is generally not classified as a "critical mineral" for economic-security purposes, so this policy's direct benefit to gold should be regarded as limited.
11. Points that are easy to get wrong
- 注 "The Philippines is the world's 2nd-largest gold reserve holder" does not match any official statistic. It should not be cited.
- 注 The Philippines is not listed individually in the USGS gold reserves table. It is folded into "other countries."
- 注 Central bank gold reserves and geological mineral reserves are different things. The shared English word "reserves" is the source of the confusion.
- 注 The "$1 trillion / $1.4 trillion of undeveloped minerals" figure is itself acknowledged by MGB as "just a rough estimate." The underlying US$840 billion figure dates from 2012.
- 注 "World's 5th most mineralized country" is said to originate from Austrade, not from an MGB study. The primary source is unconfirmed.
- 注 "2nd in the world for endowment per unit area" is of unconfirmed origin. The Fraser Institute has no such indicator.
- 注 Do not add up the "resources" of undeveloped deposits and call the total "reserves." Most of it is Inferred.
- 注 Corporate reserves are calculated using conservative gold price assumptions. OceanaGold uses US$2,200/oz, versus a prevailing price around US$4,600.
- 注 Do not read growth in production value as growth in production volume. In Q1 2026, volume was −24.7% while value was +31.2%.
- 注 PSA's mineral accounts exclude BARMM, and prior-year figures are frequently revised.
- 注 Palawan is not a major gold-producing region (it is dominated by nickel), and it has been under a 50-year mining moratorium since 2025.
- 注 Many of the Philippines' large gold deposits are "gold as a byproduct of copper." Tampakan, King-king, Silangan, FSE, Padcal, and Didipio are all copper-gold deposits, so they are subject to copper price and market trends.
日本語の詳細版: 分野「鉱業・地下資源」「金の埋蔵量と鉱床」(本サイト日本語版)。