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The Philippines' Chemical and Pharmaceutical Industries

As of 2026-09-08 · Updated 2026-09-08 · Section: Economy, Industry & Business · 日本語版


0. Summary — The 30-Second Version

Issue Status (August 2026)
Petrochemicals JG Summit Petrochemicals (JGSOC, Batangas) shut down all facilities indefinitely between late 2024 and January 2025. It recorded a ₱114.3 billion impairment for full-year 2025. Negotiating with prospective buyers since March 2026
Refining The only refinery currently operating is Petron's Limay plant in Bataan. Shell's Tabangao refinery stopped refining in 2020 and was converted into an import terminal
Resins/plastics Most polyolefins have shifted to imports. Over 60–70% of domestic demand is now met by imports (industry estimate)
Fertilizer Almost entirely imported. The 2026 Middle East conflict pushed urea prices up roughly 50% in a year
Pharmaceuticals The leading domestically owned manufacturer is United Laboratories (Unilab) (注 the indicator is said to be domestic sales, but Unilab is unlisted and does not disclose sales, so this has not been primary-source verified; see §6-3). Active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) are almost entirely imported
Price regulation MDRP/MRP under RA 9502 (Cheaper Medicines Act). EO 104 (2020) and EO 155 (2021) together cover 120 molecules
2026 shock The Middle East conflict that began 28 February → disruption in the Strait of Hormuz → national energy emergency declared under EO 110 on 24 March. Raw-material and transport costs hit both the chemical and pharmaceutical sectors directly

1. Where the Industry Stands

The Philippine chemical industry has a structure, within ASEAN, that is extremely thin upstream (petrochemicals) and heavily weighted downstream (compounding, molding, consumer goods). While Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, and Vietnam all maintain naphtha crackers or large integrated petrochemical complexes, the Philippines lost its only cracker in 2025.

注 Older Japanese-language reference material still describes the Philippines as "one of ASEAN's leading chemical producers," but upstream petrochemical output has been zero since 2025, and using that description without qualification is a factual error. Since rankings ("#X in ASEAN") vary widely depending on the metric used, this article does not state a ranking and treats it as unconfirmed.

On the policy side, the Board of Investments (BOI) oversees the Chemical Industry Roadmap and the Integrated Roadmap for the Philippine Pharmaceutical Industry, and is working on revisions together with the industry association SPIK (Samahan sa Pilipinas ng mga Industriyang Kimika, the Chemical Industries Association of the Philippines) (per BOI and SPIK published materials).


2. Petrochemicals — JG Summit's Withdrawal (2025)

2-1. What Happened

Timing Event Source
Mid-December 2024 Polypropylene (PP) plant halted. Initially described as a "temporary shutdown from mid-December 2024 to end of March 2025" Argus Media
24 January 2025 Employees formally notified of possible layoffs Argus Media
Late January 2025 Polyethylene (PE) — 570,000 tonnes/year — halted. All petrochemical operations shut down indefinitely Argus Media, BusinessWorld, Manila Bulletin
March 2025 Restart in February or March was considered but abandoned. The PP-propylene spread was $35/tonne as of 6 March, far below the break-even point of $150/tonne MRC/ChemWeek
May 2025 Company states the shutdown will last "at least 2 years"; parent company assumes the debt, layoffs proceed Inquirer.net, Manila Bulletin
November 2025 Company plans to book a ₱114.3 billion impairment as a discontinued operation bilyonaryo
26 March 2026 CEO Lance Gokongwei announces "discussions have begun with prospective buyers." Full-year 2025 net loss, due to the impairment, was ₱87.9 billion OneNews.ph

注注 (Detected in the 2026-08-25 verification pass. The 2025 profit figure on a continuing-operations basis differs between sources — both are presented here rather than deleting either)

Source Description Amount YoY change
This article (OneNews.ph, 26 March 2026) Continuing operations' recurring net income ₱31.9 billion +3%
The "Conglomerates" article, §6-3 (Manila Bulletin, 25 March 2026) Reported continuing-operations net income ₱36.1 billion −7%

Both the amount and the direction of the year-on-year change diverge — this is not simply a rounding difference. This likely reflects either (1) a difference in metric — "recurring/core" (adjusted for one-off items) versus "reported continuing-operations net income" — or (2) a transcription discrepancy on the reporting side. This survey could not reach JG Summit's own full-year 2025 disclosure (jgsummit.com.ph's press-release page has not been updated since May 2022, and the full-year 2025 release could not be located) = unconfirmed. 注 When citing this figure, always specify whether it is "recurring/core" or "as reported." By contrast, the ₱87.9 billion full-year 2025 net loss is consistent across both sources and may be treated as a settled figure. Note also that 1H2026 core net income was ₱13 billion (−37%) (per the conglomerates article), which reflects fuel-cost pressure on Cebu Pacific (separate from petrochemicals) plus interest expense inherited from the petrochemical unit at the parent-company level. Do not mix figures across fiscal periods.

2-2. Capacity Lost (Important)

Facility Capacity (per year) Source
Naphtha cracker (ethylene) 480,000 tonnes Argus Media/MRC
Same (propylene) 240,000 tonnes Same
Butadiene extraction 70,000–80,000 tonnes Same
HDPE 160,000 tonnes Argus Media
LLDPE 160,000 tonnes Same
New PE line (came online July–August 2024) 250,000 tonnes Same
Polypropylene 300,000 tonnes Same
Benzene 90,000 tonnes Same
Toluene 50,000 tonnes Same
Mixed xylenes 30,000 tonnes Same

注 The new 250,000-tonne PE line had only just come online in July–August 2024 and was shut down less than a year later. Any 2024-era claim that "the new capacity secures the future" is now entirely out of date.

2-3. Impact on Demand

According to Argus Media, 2024 domestic consumption in the Philippines was approximately 170,000 tonnes of LLDPE, 240,000 tonnes of HDPE, and 440,000 tonnes of PP. With JGSOC shut down, these volumes have in principle switched entirely to imports.

An industry survey (Kantor Materials, 13 April 2026) estimates the Philippines' resin-processing volume at 1.2–1.5 million tonnes/year, with an import share of 80–90% for polyolefins (PE/PP) and 60–75% across resins overall. It puts the remaining domestic producers — NPC Alliance, Petron, Philippine Resins Industries (PRII), and others — at a combined ~575,000 tonnes/year. This is an industry estimate, not an official government statistic.

The same report cites three reasons for 2026's import share being heavily skewed toward China: (1) ACFTA's zero tariff, (2) the September 2025 lapse of the HDPE safeguard tariff, and (3) an $80–150/tonne raw-material cost advantage over Korean suppliers (all industry-side claims that this survey could not independently verify against primary sources).


3. Refining — A "Single-Plant" Structure

3-1. Shell Tabangao's Conversion to an Import Terminal

Item Detail
Facility Tabangao Refinery (Batangas), capacity 110,000 barrels/day
Crude processing halted 24 May 2020 (initially framed as a temporary halt to conserve cash)
Permanent closure announced 14 August 2020
Reason Weak regional refining margins, demand collapse from COVID-19. "It is no longer economically viable to keep refining."
Aftermath Converted into an import terminal (Pilipinas Shell/Shell Pilipinas Corporation)

(Source: Oil & Gas Journal, 2020)

3-2. Petron's Bataan Refinery

3-3. Petron's Performance (Hit Directly by the 2026 Middle East Conflict)

Period Net income Notes Source
Full-year 2024 ₱8.5 billion — Petron
Full-year 2025 ₱15.6 billion (record high, +84%) Higher sales volume, improved refinery utilization in the Philippines and Malaysia Petron press release (3 March 2026)
Q1 2026 ₱1.8 billion (−56%) Turnaround maintenance, supply disruption, crude spike Daily Tribune/Power Philippines (May 2026)
H1 2026 ₱3.8 billion (−27%) Revenue up 57% to ₱605.9 billion; operating income ₱12.6 billion (−17%) Petron press release (4 August 2026)

Petron itself cites "Middle East geopolitical instability pushing up crude prices, import premiums, and shipping costs" as the cause. Dubai crude peaked at $129/barrel in March 2026, fell to $79 by June, averaged $86 in Q1 and $96 in Q2, for an H1 average of $91 (+27% year-on-year) (Petron press release).

注 The key point is that revenue rose 57% while profit fell. Because the Philippine oil and chemical sector swings on "price pass-through lag" and "inventory valuation," looking at revenue alone gives a misleading picture.

3-4. The 2026 Upheaval in Crude Sourcing


4. Fertilizer — Import Dependence and the 2026 Price Spike

4-1. Supply Structure

Per the Department of Agriculture (DA, da.gov.ph, 2026):

Item Figure/Detail
2025 urea-based fertilizer imports 713,000 tonnes
Of which, direct imports from Qatar/Saudi Arabia ~20%
Main suppliers Indonesia, Brunei, Malaysia, China, Vietnam
Ammonium sulfate Sourced entirely from China and Japan

Agriculture Secretary Francisco Tiu Laurel Jr. said, "Supply is not the problem — price is," pointing to logistics costs and market uncertainty as the real issues.

4-2. Prices (Old vs. New, Side by Side)

Fertilizer and Pesticide Authority (FPA) weekly prices, WK32 (3–7 August 2026), national weighted average retail price per 50kg sack

Grade ₱/sack
Urea (prilled) 46-0-0 2,444.68
Urea (granular) 46-0-0 2,448.12
Ammonium sulfate 21-0-0 1,215.14
Complete fertilizer 14-14-14 1,908.79
Ammophos 16-20-0 1,743.50
Muriate of potash 0-0-60 1,656.18
DAP 18-46-0 3,079.73

As of April 2026 (DA data, BusinessMirror, 13 April 2026)

Grade Price Increase
Urea (prilled) ₱2,600/sack (up from ₱1,720.74) +51.1%
Urea (granular) ₱2,500/sack +49.23%
Ammonium sulfate — +17.52%
Ammophos — +9.65%

注 Prices have eased somewhat from April's peak (₱2,600) to August's ₱2,444, but remain well above the pre-conflict level of around ₱1,720. The "₱1,500–1,800/sack" figure commonly cited in Japanese-language material is from 2025 or earlier and no longer applies in 2026.

The DA has warned that under a worst-case scenario in which urea reaches ₱3,000/sack, palay (unmilled rice) production could fall from a projected 19.87 million tonnes to 17.63 million tonnes — a 10-year low (BusinessMirror, 13 April 2026). It also noted that diesel reaching ₱160/liter is undermining the economics of mechanized farming.

4-3. Moves Toward Domestic Production


5. Other Chemicals — Oleochemicals as an "Exceptional Strength"

While upstream petrochemicals have disappeared, coconut-derived oleochemicals remain one of the few chemical segments where the Philippines has a raw-material advantage.

Other downstream segments include chlor-alkali (Mabuhay Vinyl), PVC (Philippine Resins Industries), industrial gases, and compounding industries such as paints, adhesives, and detergents. This survey could not obtain the latest confirmed production volumes and market sizes for these from the PSA's (Philippine Statistics Authority) annual establishment survey (ASPBI); treated as unconfirmed.


6. The Pharmaceutical Market — Figures That Swing More Than Threefold Depending on Definition

6-1. 注注 Market-Size Figures Must Always Come With Their Definition

Source Year Figure What It Measures
BMI (via BusinessMirror, 12 March 2026) 2025 ₱525 billion ($9.1 billion) Total pharmaceutical market. Projected to reach ₱759 billion ($12.1 billion) by 2030, CAGR 7.6% (peso terms)
USAID PQM+/BOI (via Daily Guardian) 2023 ₱118.8 billion ($2.1 billion) The "Philippine pharmaceutical market." Projected to reach ₱131.7 billion ($2.33 billion) by 2029, CAGR 2.4%
BOI target (Tribune, 22 September 2025; Inquirer) 2025 $2 billion Pharmaceutical "sector revenue" target
Ken Research (industry survey) 2025 $6.2 billion Drugstore retail market

The same term, "the Philippine pharmaceutical market," varies more than fourfold — from $2.1 billion to $9.1 billion. The gap comes down to whether it is measured at wholesale or retail, prescription-only or including OTC/supplements, and domestic manufacturing only or including imports. Whenever you cite one, name the source, the year, and the definition. This survey could not determine which is "correct" — treated as unconfirmed.

6-2. Trade Balance and Import Dependence

Indicator Figure Year Source
Pharmaceutical trade deficit $2.3 billion 2025 BusinessWorld (6 April 2026), BMI
Pharmaceutical import value ₱133 billion ($2.35 billion) 2023 USAID PQM+/BOI
Main import sources US, India, China, Germany 2023 Same
Import share of manufacturing raw materials (APIs, etc.) ~95% 2026 PPMA estimate (BusinessWorld, 6 April 2026)
Import share of packaging materials ~50% 2026 Same

BMI summarizes that the Philippines "depends almost entirely on imports for APIs, mostly from China and India," while "advanced biologics and specialty drugs are imported from the US and Europe, with domestic manufacturers concentrated on generics" (via BusinessMirror, 12 March 2026).

6-3. The Players

Category Main players
Largest domestic player United Laboratories, Inc. (Unilab) (注 Noted in the 2026-08-25 verification: the metric behind "largest" is said to be domestic pharmaceutical sales, but since Unilab is unlisted and does not disclose sales, no primary source could confirm this ranking in this review either = unconfirmed. It is also unclear from the sources whether this ranking includes multinationals or is limited to domestic-capital manufacturers). Founded in 1945, it marked its 80th anniversary in 2025. There are plans to develop its Laguna campus into a pharmaceutical ecozone (Inquirer.net, 10 May 2025). In June 2026, senior House leaders toured the Laguna plant (BusinessWorld)
Domestic manufacturers' association PCPI (Philippine Chamber of Pharmaceutical Industry): about 90 Filipino-capital member companies, including Unilab. Chairman is Dr. Lloyd Balajadia (BusinessWorld, 26 January 2026) / PPMA (Philippine Pharmaceutical Manufacturers Association): chaired by Higinio P. Porte, Jr.
Multinationals' association PHAP (Pharmaceutical and Healthcare Association of the Philippines): chaired by Diana M. Edralin (general manager, Roche Philippines, as of 2026)
Public procurement PPPI (Philippine Pharma Procurement, Inc.): President and CEO is Maria Blanca Kim Bernardo-Lokin
Retail Mercury Drug, The Generics Pharmacy (TGP), Watsons, Southstar Drug, Rose Pharmacy, Generika

注 On retail market share, industry sources claiming "TGP is largest, with Mercury Drug second, and the two together holding over 60%" conflict with the more common understanding that "Mercury Drug is the largest." The share figures themselves could not be verified in this survey — unconfirmed. Unilab's "roughly $2 billion" in sales, likewise, comes from a corporate database rather than a primary source, since Unilab is unlisted — primary source unconfirmed.

(Added in the 2026-08-25 verification: the discrepancy is likely a difference in metric) - Both the "Conglomerates" article (§5) and the "Notable People — Economy and Culture" article (§2-8) describe Mercury Drug as "the largest domestic drugstore chain." Founded by Mariano Que in 1945; roughly 1,200 stores and over 15,000 employees. The owning Que Azcona family ranked 8th on Forbes Philippines' 2026 rich list, at $2.5 billion (source: Forbes profile "Vivian Que Azcona," source of wealth listed as drugstores; Vivian Que Azcona, the majority shareholder and president, died in April 2025 at age 69). - "TGP is largest" typically refers to store count (it leads through an aggressive franchise model), while "Mercury Drug is largest" typically refers to revenue. 注 Stating "the largest" without specifying the metric makes the two claims look contradictory when they may in fact be describing different rankings. - 注 That said, the underlying claims themselves — "TGP has the most stores" and "the two together hold over 60%" — could not be traced to a primary source in this review either = unconfirmed. Neither claim is discarded; whenever you state a ranking, specify whether it is store-count-based or revenue-based, and for what year. - 注 The claim "the Que Azcona family = Monde Nissin" is incorrect (Monde Nissin belongs to the Quifanes/Dalmono family). This mix-up has already been detected and corrected once within this document set ("Conglomerates," cross-check record #1).


7. Pharmaceutical Regulation — Three Pillars You Must Get Right

7-1. The Generics Act (RA 6675, Generics Act of 1988)

Item Detail (per the text on lawphil.net)
Enacted 13 September 1988
Section 6(b) Healthcare providers must write prescriptions using the generic name; brand names may be added if desired
Section 6(c) Manufacturers must prominently display the generic name on labels and promotional materials
Section 6(d) Pharmacies must inform buyers of other products with the same generic name and their prices
Section 12(A) Individual violators: first offense — reprimand; 2nd — ₱2,000–5,000; 3rd — ₱5,000–10,000 + 30-day license suspension; 4th and beyond — ₱10,000+ + 1-year+ suspension
Section 12(B) Corporations: ₱5,000–10,000 fine, license suspension/revocation; responsible officer faces 6 months to 1 year imprisonment

注 "A brand-name-only prescription is illegal" is often the first thing that trips up Japanese medical institutions and pharmaceutical firms operating in the Philippines.

7-2. The Cheaper Medicines Act (RA 9502, Universally Accessible Cheaper and Quality Medicines Act of 2008)

Item Detail (per the text on lawphil.net; re-verified against the original text in the 2026-08-25 check to confirm section numbers)
Enacted 6 June 2008 (✅ primary-source confirmed)
RA 9502, Section 17 Grants the President the power, on the Secretary of Health's recommendation, to impose maximum retail prices on medicines. It explicitly states that "no court, except the Supreme Court of the Philippines, shall issue any restraining order or preliminary injunction" against the exercise of this power (✅ primary-source confirmed; added in the 2026-08-25 check)
RA 9502, Section 19(A) The Secretary of Health recommends prices, taking into account international prices, market supply, manufacturing cost, etc.
RA 9502, Section 18 The Secretary of Health is to establish a price-monitoring system
RA 9502, Section 7 → amends Section 72.1 of the Intellectual Property Code (RA 8293) Allows parallel importation — once a product has been placed on any market worldwide, both government agencies and private third parties gain the right to import it
RA 9502, Section 10 → amends Section 93 of RA 8293 Adds "insufficient supply of a patented medicine to meet demand" as a ground for compulsory licensing (93.6)
RA 9502, Section 11 → creates Section 93-A of RA 8293 Establishes the TRIPS-based special compulsory licensing procedure for importing patented medicines for domestic consumption, with "adequate remuneration" to the patent holder

注注 (Corrected in the 2026-08-25 check. Source: RA 9502 text obtained directly from lawphil.net) The initial draft had listed "Section 93" and "Section 93-A" alongside Sections 17, 18, and 19 as if they were RA 9502's own section numbers — this was an error. Sections 93 and 93-A are in fact section numbers of the Intellectual Property Code (RA 8293); within RA 9502, it is Section 10 that amends Section 93, and Section 11 that creates Section 93-A. Citing the basis for compulsory licensing as "RA 9502, Section 93" would name a section that does not exist. The correct citation is "RA 8293, Section 93 (as amended by RA 9502, Section 10)." Section 7 alone was correctly noted in the original draft as amending Section 72.1 of the IP Code.

7-3. Maximum Drug Retail Price (MDRP/MRP)

Executive Order Date Coverage Source
EO 821 2009 Early-stage MDRP (secondary source; text unconfirmed)
EO 104 17 February 2020 ✅ 86 molecules/133 formulations ✅. An additional 36 molecules/72 formulations were to be reviewed by a Technical Working Group within 30 days (i.e., EO 104 itself frames a scope of "122 molecules/205 formulations" in total) lawphil.net re-verified against original text in the 2026-08-25 check
EO 155 7 December 2021 ✅ 34 molecules/71 formulations (Annex A) ✅ lawphil.net re-verified against original text in the 2026-08-25 check

(2026-08-25 verification) All items regarding the signing dates and molecule/formulation counts for EO 104 and EO 155 were re-checked in full against the original text on lawphil.net and matched the original draft exactly. No errors found. 注 However, the "120 molecules under EO 104 and EO 155 combined" figure in the summary (§0) refers to 86 + 34 = 120 (the molecules actually placed under price caps). The "122 molecules" mentioned in the body of EO 104 refers to the scope including the 36 additional molecules under review, not the number already regulated. 120 and 122 are distinct figures — do not conflate them.

7-4. Price Freezes (RA 7581, Price Act)

Separate from the MDRP framework, a state-of-calamity declaration automatically triggers a price freeze in the affected area.


8. FDA Philippines and the Approval System

注 The reality of review timelines: BMI notes that "the target is 254 days, but in practice it can take 2 to 4 years" (via BusinessMirror, 12 March 2026). Do not take the 254-day figure at face value.


9. Import Dependence and Localization Policy


10. Vaccines — The Push for Domestic Production (As of 2026)

10-1. RA 12290 (Virology and Vaccine Institute of the Philippines Act)

Item Detail
Law Republic Act No. 12290 (full title: An Act Establishing a Collaborative and Complementary Research and Development System on Virology and Vaccine, Creating for the Purpose the Virology and Vaccine Institute of the Philippines, and Appropriating Funds Therefor)
Signed 12 September 2025 (most press reports cite 19 September)
Oversight Section 5: an attached agency of the Department of Science and Technology (DOST)
Policy Section 2: adopts a One Health approach (linking human, animal, plant, and environmental health)
Function Section 6: to serve as the lead convener for virology research — R&D on diagnostics, treatments, and vaccines, research ethics and biosafety standards, and international cooperation
Funding Sections 22–23 and 26: a Virology Research Fund (accepts donations and grants; donors receive tax exemption). Funded from DOST's current-year budget in the first year, then via the annual General Appropriations Act (GAA) thereafter
注 Budget amount The law itself sets no fixed appropriation. Funding depends on annual budget negotiations

(Source: RA 12290 text on lawphil.net)

10-2. Progress

Timing Detail Source
13 November 2025 IRR public hearing for the Luzon area BusinessMirror (1 February 2026)
12/20/27 January 2026 IRR public hearings for Visayas, Mindanao, and Parañaque Same, Daily Tribune, GMA
Construction site New Clark City, Capas, Tarlac, on 5 hectares BusinessMirror
Planned facilities BSL-3/BSL-4 laboratories, GMP facilities, virology labs for human, animal, and plant pathogens Same
31 July 2026 Health Secretary Jose Pujalte Jr. states the goal is "vaccine development matched to diseases prevalent domestically" and "reducing dependence on overseas assistance and supply delays" GMA Network

注注 There is currently no fact of "the Philippines producing vaccines domestically." RA 12290 is a legal framework for R&D infrastructure; the facility is still under construction, and the IRR only entered the drafting stage in 2026. Any claim of "Philippine-made vaccines starting in 2026" is incorrect.

注 Change of Health Secretary: Teodoro ("Ted") Herbosa resigned on 13 July 2026, and Dr. Jose Brittanio "Brix" Pujalte Jr., former head of the Philippine Orthopedic Center, was appointed and sworn in on 15 July (Rappler, Manila Bulletin, Philstar). DOH statements before April 2026 are Herbosa's; those from July onward are Pujalte's — take care when citing which.


11. Impact of the 2026 Middle East Conflict (From 28 February)

11-1. The Macro Timeline

Date Event
28 February 2026 Airstrikes begin; Iran restricts passage through the Strait of Hormuz, affecting about a fifth of global oil supply
20 March 2026 Philippine oil reserves average 45 days' worth (down from 55–57 days at the start of the conflict)
23 March 2026 The President orders the formation of a crisis-response committee
24 March 2026 President Marcos declares a national energy emergency under EO 110; diesel exceeds ₱130/L, gasoline exceeds ₱100/L
25 March 2026 RA 12316 signed, allowing suspension of the fuel excise tax through 31 December 2028; ₱20 billion disbursed from the Malampaya Fund
Late March 2026 Diesel exceeds ₱140/L; LNG prices triple, coal prices +30%. By 27 March, 425 of the nation's 14,485 gas stations were closed
End of March 2026 Russian crude (about 2.48 million barrels) arrives for the first time in 5 years
13 April 2026 Excise tax removed on LPG and kerosene (effective price cuts of about ₱3.36/L and ₱5.6/L, respectively)
13–15 May 2026 Rotating blackouts in Luzon and the Visayas affecting about 2 million people

(Source replaced 2026-08-27: the earlier draft had aggregated various reports via the English-language Wikipedia article. Replacement with individual primary reporting was not completed in this session = requires re-verification. Only some items have been confirmed against primary sources)

注 The figure "the Philippines imports 98% of its oil from the Middle East" has circulated in connection with March 2026 government announcements, but the original PCO statement could not be retrieved even in this verification pass, so the single figure of 98% is unconfirmed. (Added in the 2026-08-25 check) However, within this document set, the "Oil, Natural Gas, and Undersea Resources" article, §14, states Middle East dependence for oil as a range of "95–98%." Citing a range of "95–98%" rather than a single figure is the most defensible position this document set currently supports.

11-2. Impact on the Chemical Industry

11-3. Impact on the Pharmaceutical Industry (This Is the Core Topic Here)

Issue Detail Source
Cost-increase outlook Expected cost increase of 5–15% within two months PPMA/PPPI (BusinessWorld, 6 April 2026)
Inventory buffer Some manufacturers hold 6–12 months' worth. DOH says "the industry holds about 3 months' worth" Same/ABS-CBN (10 April 2026)
Exchange rate The peso broke past ₱60 to the dollar, further raising imported raw-material costs BusinessWorld (6 April 2026)
Raw materials "Most, if not all, of the raw materials used in drug manufacturing are imported" (PPPI President Lokin) Same
DOH response No medicine price increases through June; drugmakers voluntarily absorbing costs. DOH monitors 10 key products (antihypertensives, diabetes medicines, etc.) weekly, and publishes a quarterly medicine price index on e-Gov ABS-CBN (10 April 2026)
Room for price caps Then-Secretary Herbosa said, "It is possible to recommend a price cap to the President. We haven't done so yet because prices haven't risen [enough]." Same
Automatic price freeze Under the national energy emergency, PNDF-listed medicines are automatically subject to a price freeze SunStar (26 March 2026)
WHO's view "Medicine prices will gradually rise to a certain point. Preparation is needed" (as relayed by DOH spokesperson Albert Domingo, citing the WHO view) Same

PHAP's 10-point proposal (10 April 2026, context.ph)

Citing a 12–24 month production lead time for medicines — meaning "today's supply disruption becomes tomorrow's shortage months later" — PHAP called on the government to:

  1. Secure a 6-month national inventory buffer
  2. Establish joint public-private demand forecasting
  3. Create a National Medicines Logistics Command Center (real-time monitoring)
  4. Establish green lanes at ports (priority customs clearance for pharmaceutical cargo)
  5. Expand cold-chain storage capacity
  6. Grant priority fuel allocation for medicine distribution
  7. Pursue cross-sector pooled procurement
  8. Apply flexible regulation and time-limited tax incentives
  9. Exempt medicines from VAT to offset logistics costs
  10. Strengthen public-private cooperation under the UHC Law framework

12. Key Points for Japanese Companies and Practitioners

# Point
1 Upstream petrochemicals no longer exist. Sourcing resins or chemical intermediates in the Philippines must now assume imports. Any plan built on completing raw-material procurement entirely within the Philippines is no longer viable
2 With only one operating refinery, fuel and naphtha-based feedstock supply carries structural risk. External shocks like 2026's immediately spill over into price and supply
3 Understand pharmaceuticals through four layers: RA 6675 (mandatory generic prescribing) → RA 9502 (price-regulation authority) → EO 104/155 (MDRP implementation) → RA 7581 (automatic price freeze during disasters). Looking at any one in isolation will lead you astray
4 FDA approval has been organized around ACTD/CTD standards under AO 2024-0013, but actual processing times can diverge sharply from the stated targets
5 2026 is the year two localization-support initiatives — the FDA's Green Lane and the VIP (RA 12290) — both got underway. The window for entry and partnerships is open, but both remain works in progress institutionally
6 注 Market-size figures can differ by up to fourfold depending on definition. When using them internally, always attach the source, year, and definition
7 注 2026 statistics and reporting contain anomalies driven by the Middle East conflict. Present pre-conflict (through 2025) and post-conflict (2026) figures separately

13. Main Sources (Primary Materials and Originals)


日本語の詳細版: 分野「経済・産業・ビジネス」「化学・医薬品産業」(本サイト日本語版)。